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The Mysterious Disintegration
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Since the release of the July 5-7, 2000 images from the Hubble Space Telescope, the "official" debate at this point has split between two camps.
Mark Kidger and Brian Marsden on the right with the Dirty Snowball theory, and Zdenek Sekanina of JPL on the left with a Fragment Collision Theory.
Favoried by Mark Kidger of the Las Palmas observatory and Dr. Brian G. Marsden, an astronomer at the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory in Cambridge, Massachusetts. (Marsden was one of the original founders of the now-defunct Space Guard effort to track near Earth objects) is the dirty snowball theory.
In simple terms, the essence of this theory is that the comet was collection of rock glued together by ice. As the ice melted, it disintegrated. Simple!
While Kidger presents a very plausable theory based on his obersvations, he also tells us that he may not have the final answer to what remains a mystery.
Kidger's answer is refreshing because it states a simple truth - we do not know why! However, his comment about the"curious and unpleasant symmetry" between forest fires and our interest Comet LINEAR begs the question: "Do comets cause forest fires?"
In other words, could the same forces that caused the disintegration of Comet LINEAR also have something to do with incredible number of fires now burning out of control across the globe?
But before we examine that possibility, we must give our attention to an equally plausible theory that explains the disintegration of Comet LINEAR because the reason the comet disintegrated is the key to understanding everything else.
Zdenek Sekanina of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, CA theorizes that S4 LINEAR collided with the trailing fragments of a much large comet.
International Astronomical Union Circular No. 7471, July 30, 2000
COMET C/1999 S4 (LINEAR)
Z. Sekanina, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, reports: "The unusually large nongravitational forces found by B. G. Marsden (MPEC 2000-O07) suggest that comet C/1999 S4 was a trailing fragment of a more massive comet that has been moving in the same orbit, arrived at perihelion long (centuries?) ago but (not surprisingly) was missed. Trailing fragments of known comet pairs have a tendency to sudden disintegration (e.g., Sekanina 1997, A.Ap. 318, L5).
Sekanina has also studied the fragmentation and breakup of other comets to include Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 and Machholz 2 (P/1994 P1) but when it comes theories about comets and space, the NASA Dirty Snowball theory stil rules the roost.
While Kidger favors the Dirty Snowball theory, he expresses the opinion that proving Sekanina's fragment collision theory would be highly unlikely.
KIDGER: One theory, proposed on a recent IAU Circular by Zdenek Sekanina is that Comet LINEAR is the trailing half of a comet that broke-up previously. This is an ingenious theory, although it will be horribly difficult to prove. Given that Comet LINEAR has fallen in from about 1 light year from the Sun one has to understand why a comet falling in from so far out would break up.
However, this is not the first time that Sekanina has followed the beat of a different drummer and disagreed. Sekanina theory that Hale-Bopp had a satellite was assailed by Harold Weaver at the Johns Hopkins University. When it comes to the Hubble Space Telescope, Weaver is the head honcho. If you see an HST image on the web, it means that Weaver gave the OK.
[1] [2]
We often received emails from people complaining about the mockery and abuse they receive from family, friends and co-workers when discussing this topic.
Our view is that this topic should never be introduced to others, until they demonstrate a geniune interest.
Nonetheless, those with a genuine interest in the topic will feel a natural urge to share their concerns about a possible threat to themselves and those close to them. Consequently, the most common questions they ask are, "where is Planet X, and what is the most likely worst case scenario?" GO
As moviegoers flock to see Sony's new 2012 film, critics, debunkers and cynics are spewing forth a flood of poison pen pronouncements.
Taken altogether, it is a bizarre twist on the Biblical story of Noah and the Flood — and with strikingly similar themes.
For those new to the topic of 2012, the film is great entertainment, but it also drives home an ancient failing of humanity. That the common folk are often the last to know, whether by their own choices or those made for them by wealthy and powerful elites. Ergo, many will never ask, "where will I be in 2012?" They'll just have enough time to ask, "My God, what's happening?" GO
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The
disintegration of Comet C/1999 S4 LINEAR was a unique astronomical event and has
been accompanied by the most violent rash of forest fires in the last
fifty years! At present, 62 wildfires are burning in 11 western
states. With the recent addition of 500 US Army soldiers, 20,000
people are now fighting fires that have already devastated more than
747,101 acres. As US Marines undergo fire fighting training, the
outlook for a downward trend is bleak unless weather conditions
change dramatically, and soon. 
