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Super-storm Over Europe?YOWUSA.COM,
28-November-07
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The pictures that constitute at least part of the source used for the official prediction given out by weather offices in the UK and The Netherlands paint a grim scenario. In fact, this scenario validates the prediction by Piers Corbyn, be it two days overdue and 15 mph under his prediction strength. But there is a question mark, and here is why.
On the morning of November 26, shortly before we were about to post this article onto the web, we made a final check of the Windfinder website. Call it routine, call it a hunch, but the result was total amazement. It has gone, the mother of all storms to hit Northern Europe has vanished into thin air.. Not a trace of the big black blotch on the series of pictures above remains. Just benign autumn weather, with a few showers here and there. Some of them might be blustery. Below there is a repost of the images generated for the same moments in time and also for the UK. In other words, a revised prediction in pictures.


















This last series of pictures displays a completely different chain of events unfolding in the same 48 hours as the first series and it is a safe bet that the prediction will change as strongly again. Fact of the matter is, even with the use of computer models the official weather forecasters apparently are not able to give off a prediction that is even nearly stable for five days ahead. Comparing the respective pictures of the first series to the second gives a radically different scenario for both the UK and The Netherlands and Belgium.
This cripples their position with regard to Corbyn. Their methods appear to have no more scientific body than his method does. What's left is statistical analysis afterwards, determine who was right and wrong while we search through the rubble and bury the dead. Instead, we should rather join forces to try and beat the increased unpredictability that seems to have made an entrance into our weather.
We can continue bickering about whether or not Corbyn has called it right or wrong but that is beside the issue.
The fact is that if the first official prediction posted turns out to be correct in the end, Corbyn correctly predicted a devastating storm to hit the UK and brush The Netherlands in about the right time frame. If the latest chain of events unfolds however, there will be no super-storm, but prolonged strong winds for the British south coast and the Low Countries.
On the same note, if a super-storm vanishes from predictions in 24 hours, it might also appear out of the blue, which is something Corbyn literally said in an interview. At least he predicted that right: a super-storm may totally blindside us... Now there is a frightening thought. This may well be the first tangible effect on climate by global warming: flash appearance and disappearance of severe weather could become part of our lives sooner that we would like and definitely before we are ready to face it.
In any case, we would like to ask our UK and Dutch readers to take whatever precautions necessary to stay safe during a big storm that may obviously hit them on a moment's notice. Readers in these two countries, but anywhere in the world really, need to closely watch the weather forecasts from now on. Things may obviously take a turn for the worse quite quickly.
We hope to catch all of you on the back side.
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